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final golden globe predictions

With the nomination announcement coming up on Thursday, I thought it only best I make a final stab at predicting the once-great ceremony.  Arguably the true kick-off of major awards gets, the Globes may’ve lost some of its luster last year with its bizarre choices, but at least they still get their guests schnockered!  Just a few alterations from my last go at it.

Best Picture – Comedy/Musical
The Artist, Bridesmaids, Midnight in Paris, The Muppets, Young Adult

Best Picture – Drama
The Descendants, The Help, Hugo, Moneyball, War Horse

Best Lead Actress – Comedy/Musical
Amy Adams (The Muppets), Julia Roberts (Larry Crowne),
Charlize Theron (Young Adult), Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids),
Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)

Best Lead Actress – Drama
Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs), Viola Davis (The Help),
Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene), Emma Stone (The Help),
Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)

Best Lead Actor – Comedy/Musical
Johnny Depp (The Rum Diary), Jean Dujardin (The Artist),
Joseph Gordon Levitt (50/50), Jason Segel (The Muppets),
Owen Wilson (Midnight in Paris)

Best Lead Actor – Drama
George Clooney (The Descendants), Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar),
Michael Fassbender (Shame), Woody Harrelson (Rampart),
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)

Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo (The Artist), Sandra Bullock (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close),
Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids), Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus),
Octavia Spencer (The Help)

Best Supporting Actor
Albert Brooks (Drive), Nick Nolte (Warrior),
Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life), Christopher Plummer (Beginners),
Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
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mid-year globe predictions

It’s mighty fun to predict the Golden Globes.  Mostly because of their unpredictability.  In that same regard, though, they can be utterly frustrating – case in point, almost every 2010 nominee.  But for an early stab, I have my predictions in six film categories and six television categories.

Best Motion Picture – Drama
The Help
J. Edgar
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse

Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical
Bridesmaids
The Descendants
The Hangover, Part II
Midnight in Paris
Young Adult

Best Lead Actress in a Drama
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn

Best Lead Actress in a Comedy/Musical
Amy Adams, The Muppets
Cameron Diaz, Bad Teacher
Julia Roberts, Larry Crowne
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids

Best Lead Actor in a Drama
Johnny Depp, The Rum Diary
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Woody Harrelson, Rampart
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life

Best Lead Actor in a Comedy/Musical
Steve Carell, Crazy Stupid Love
George Clooney, The Descendants
Robert Downey, Jr., Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
Tom Hanks, Larry Crowne
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris

Best Television Series – Drama
Big Love (HBO)
Breaking Bad (AMC)
Boardwalk Empire (HBO)
The Good Wife (CBS)
Luck (HBO)
Prime Suspects (NBC)

Best Television Series – Comedy/Musical
The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
The Big C (Showtime)
Glee (FOX)
Hot in Cleveland (TV Land)
Modern Family (ABC)
Nurse Jackie (Showtime)

Best Lead Actress in a Drama Series
Kathy Bates, Harry’s Law
Maria Bello, Prime Suspect
Claire Danes, Homeland
Dana Delany, Body of Proof
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife

Best Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
Christina Applegate, Up All Night
Laura Dern, Enlightened
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Laura Linney, The Big C

Best Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Dustin Hoffman, Luck
Hugh Laurie, House

Best Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Thomas Jane, Hung
William H. Macy, Shameless
Matthew Morrison, Glee
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Thoughts?

My first post at Anomalous Material…

Well friends, thanks to the hospitable Castor over at Anomalous Material, it seems I’ll be doing some guest posting for a bit.  My first column, on the desperate odds that some of the Globes’ lackluster choices could transition to Oscardom, can be found right here.  Please go chime in with your thoughts!

globe nominees reactions

Well the biggest thing we can take away from this morning’s announcement of this year’s Golden Globe nominees is that the “Comedy/Musical” category really is completely hopeless.  Though it seemed like it could be a fun one to predict, as they typically decide upon the most bizarre choices, this year there were ones that are likely to additionally end up on “worst of the year” lists based on critical reactions.  Who knew the critically maligned The Tourist, Alice in Wonderland, and Burlesque were so downright wonderful (and full of nominatable performances)?  With The Kids Are All Right being the only consistently loved film of the five chosen, it’s just downright weird.  And adversely, who knew that the Globes would get all indie like this and notice Blue Valentine in the drama categories?  Let’s see how the big movie categories fell in terms of predictions:


Best Picture – Drama (5/5)
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The King’s Speech
The Social Network

Best Picture – Comedy/Musical (1/5)
Alice in Wonderland 
Burlesque
The Kids Are All Right
Red
The Tourist

Best Lead Actor – Drama (4/5)
Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network)
Colin Firth (The King’s Speech)
James Franco (127 Hours)
Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine)
Mark Wahlberg (The Fighter)

Best Lead Actor – Comedy/Musical (1/5)
Johnny Depp (Alice in Wonderland)
Johnny Depp (The Tourist)
Paul Giamatti (Barney’s Version)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Love and Other Drugs)
Kevin Spacey (Casino Jack)

Best Lead Actress – Drama (3/5)
Halle Berry (Frankie and Alice)
Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole)
Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone)
Natalie Portman (Black Swan)
Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine)

Best Lead Actress – Comedy/Musical (3/5)
Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right)
Anne Hathaway (Love and Other Drugs)
Angelina Jolie (The Tourist)
Julianne Moore (The Kids Are All Right)
Emma Stone (Easy A)

Best Supporting Actor (3/5)
Christian Bale (The Fighter)
Michael Douglas (Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps)
Andrew Garfield (The Social Network)
Jeremy Renner (The Town)
Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech)

Best Supporting Actress (3/5)
Amy Adams (The Fighter)
Helena Bonham Carter (The King’s Speech)
Mila Kunis (Black Swan)
Melissa Leo (The Fighter)
Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom)

2010 golden globe predictions, revised

Well thanks a lot, Dave Karger. Just when I had my Golden Globe predictions all nicely settled you had to throw a monkey wrench in the works with all these rules and regulations. It turns out several of my previous predictions are now moot thanks to Country Strong being ruled a “Drama” instead of a “Comedy/Musical” candidate. The other issue at hand is Hailee Steinfeld being ruled lead as opposed to supporting, a move that I know plenty of bloggers are happy about, in an effort to avoid category fraud. Herein lies the problem – my previously chosen candidates (Country Strong for Best Picture – Comedy/Musical, Gwyneth Paltrow for Best Lead Actress in a Comedy/Musical, and Hailee Steinfeld for Best Supporting Actress) are defunct. Replacements are in order! So, to hustle along before tomorrow’s announcement, I’ll replace Steinfeld with Cher in Burlesque, a flashy celebrity to potentially brighten up the red-carpet-driven awards show. The Best Actress spot will have to now go to Julianne Moore for The Kids Are All Right, though I’ve been hesitant about her chances. And finally, the Best Comedy vacancy will go to The Other Guys – though I’m very tentative about that potentially gutsy choice. Good luck to all predictors!

2010 golden globe predictions

With the official announcement of this year’s Golden Globe nominations coming up on Tuesday morning (it is that time of year already?), I figured I would take a stab at predicting this years choices. Though the HFPA is a little tough to call, particularly in the Comedy/Musical categories, here’s my humble attempt.

Best Motion Picture – Drama
127 Hours, Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception,
The King’s Speech, The Social Network

Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical
Another Year, Country Strong, Easy A,
The Kids Are All Right, Toy Story 3

Best Lead Actor – Drama
Robert Duvall (Get Low), Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network),
Colin Firth (The King’s Speech), James Franco (127 Hours),
Mark Wahlberg (The Fighter)

Best Lead Actor – Comedy/Musical
Jim Broadbent (Another Year), Jim Carrey (I Love You Phillip Morris),
Johnny Depp (Alice in Wonderland), Robert Downey Jr. (Iron Man 2),
Will Ferrell (The Other Guys)

Best Lead Actress – Drama
Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole), Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone),
Natalie Portman (Black Swan), Julia Roberts (Eat Pray Love),
Hilary Swank (Conviction)

Best Lead Actress – Comedy/Musical
Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right), Lesley Manville (Another Year),
Rachel McAdams (Morning Glory), Gwyneth Paltrow (Country Strong),
Emma Stone (Easy A)

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale (The Fighter), Andrew Garfield (The Social Network),
Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right), Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech),
Justin Timberlake (The Social Network)

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams (The Fighter), Helena Bonham Carter (The King’s Speech),
Melissa Leo (The Fighter), Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit),
Dianne Wiest (Rabbit Hole)