Archive | April 2011

april oscar predictions complete: TALLIES and COMMENTARY

Well after much toiling, my first round of Oscar predictions are now on record.  There’s a handy-dandy widget in upper right column of the blog to navigate through my initial thoughts on this year’s Oscar race.  While I’m quick to say that everyone’s confidence in The Tree of Life being this year’s big Academy Awards movie is premature and a little misguided (I fear it’ll fall flat come May just from sheer over-hyping), I ended up declaring it the eventual nomination count leader nonetheless. Such is life.  From the previews, it’s hard to deny that it’ll have technical and visual appeal, which is something we’ve come to expect from Terrence Malick’s films anyway.  A lot of my reliability, though, is resting on a couple of movies that are currently slated for a 2012 release, but have already begun filming – so they could just as easily get snuck in in December:  J. Edgar and Carnage.  We’ll just have to wait and see how those two fare for 2011.  So go ahead and check out the individual category pictorial write-ups amidst the linkage in the upper left corner of the blog, and look no further than directly below for the final tallies for my current predictions for Oscar 2011.

April Oscar Tallies
8 nominations
The Tree of Life

7 nominations
Hugo Cabret

6 nominations
J. Edgar, Moneyball, War Horse

4 nominations
Rango, The Iron Lady

3 nominations
Adventures of Tintin, Albert Nobbs, My Week with Marilyn, The Descendants, The Ides of March, Transformers: Dark of the Moon, Water for Elephants, Young Adult

2 nominations
A Dangerous Method, Carnage, Martha Marcy May Marlene, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides, Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows, The Muppets, The Skin I Live In, X-Men: First Class

1 nomination
Beginners, Captain America: The First Avenger, Cars 2, Coriolanus, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2, Jane Eyre, Rio, Source Code, The Eye of the Storm, The Help, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, We Need to Talk About Kevin, Winnie the Pooh
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april oscar predictions: SUPPORTING and SCREENPLAY categories

The April round of predictions keep on coming (and I’m finally getting the hang of this Blogger “pages” thing – I highly recommend it!), this time with the two supporting categories, as well as the two screenplay categories.  My predicting abilities are going to get foggier and foggier as we head into the tech categories, but I’ll do my best.  

**UPDATE** Look to the gadget to the left for the latest predictions.  All the acting and screenplay categories are finished, as well as Best Picture.  Working on some tech categories currently, and Best Director has been posted thus far.

april oscar predictions: BEST PICTURE

The year is more than a quarter complete now, so it’s only fitting that Oscar discussion commence.  I don’t know about you, but my fatigue from 2010’s award season is over, and I’m ready to ponder anew the latest and greatest of 2011!  To start things off, I’m experimenting with the “pages” function of blogger to bring you the first of this round of predictions, starting with the elusive Best Picture.  Please do check them out, and let me know what your thoughts are!

**UPDATE** Best Lead Actress and Actor have officially been added.  Go check it out at the above link!

100 favorite film actors: #10-#1

10. Harrison Ford
Key Role(s): Han Solo (The Star Wars trilogy)
Indiana Jones (The Indiana Jones films)
Rick Deckard (Blade Runner)
John Book (Witness)
Allie Fox (The Mosquito Coast)
Henry Turner (Regarding Henry)
Dr. Richard Kimble (The Fugitive)
Norman Spencer (What Lies Beneath)

9. Sidney Poitier
Key Role(s): Gregory W. Miller (Blackboard Jungle)
Noah Cullen (The Defiant Ones)
Porgy (Porgy and Bess)
Walter Lee Younger (A Raisin in the Sun)
Homer Smith (Lilies of the Field)
Mark Thackeray (To Sir, with Love)
Virgil Tibbs (In the Heat of the Night)
John Prentice (Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner)
Donald Crease (Sneakers)

8. Tom Hanks
Key Role(s): Allen Bauer (Splash)
Josh Baskin (Big)
Jimmy Dugan (A League of Their Own)
Sam Baldwin (Sleepless in Seattle)
Andrew Beckett (Philadelphia)
Forrest Gump (Forrest Gump)
Jim Lovell (Apollo 13)
Woody (The Toy Story trilogy)
Capt. John H. Miller (Saving Private Ryan)
Joe Fox (You’ve Got Mail)
Chuck Noland (Cast Away)

7. Leonardo DiCaprio
Key Role(s): Toby Wolff (This Boy’s Life)
Arnie Grape (What’s Eating Gilbert Grape)
Romeo (Romeo + Juliet)
Hank (Marvin’s Room)
Jack Dawson (Titanic)
Frank Abagnale, Jr. (Catch Me If You Can)
Howard Hughes (The Aviator)
Billy Costigan (The Departed)
Teddy Daniels (Shutter Island)
Cobb (Inception)

6. James Stewart
Key Role(s): Tony Kirby (You Can’t Take it With You)
Jefferson Smith (Mr. Smith Goes to Washington)
Macaulay Connor (The Philadelphia Story)
George Bailey (It’s a Wonderful Life)
Elwood P. Dowd (Harvey)
L.B. Jeffries (Rear Window)
Scottie Ferguson (Vertigo)
Paul Biegler (Anatomy of a Murder)
Wylie Burp (An American Tail: Fievel Goes West)

5. Paul Newman
Key Role(s): Ben Quick (The Long Hot Summer)
Brick Pollitt (Cat on a Hot Tin Roof)
Eddie Felson (The Hustler)
Chance Wayne (Sweet Bird of Youth)
Hud Bannon (Hud)
Luke (Cool Hand Luke)
Butch Cassidy (Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid)
Henry Gondorff (The Sting)
Frank Galvin (The Verdict)
John Rooney (Road to Perdition)

4. Dustin Hoffman
Key Role(s): Ben Braddock (The Graduate)
Ratso (Midnight Cowboy)
Lenny Bruce (Lenny)
Carl Bernstein (All the President’s Men)
Babe (Marathon Man)
Ted Kramer (Kramer vs. Kramer)
Michael Dorsey (Tootsie)
Raymond Babbitt (Rain Man)
Stanley Motss (Wag the Dog)

3. Marlon Brando
Key Role(s): Stanley Kowalski (A Streetcar Named Desire)
Emiliano Zapata (Viva Zapata!)
Johnny Strabler (The Wild One)
Terry Malloy (On the Waterfront)
Fletcher Christian (Mutiny on the Bounty)
Don Vito Corleone (The Godfather)
Paul (Last Tango in Paris)
Walter E. Kurtz (Apocalypse Now)
Ian McKenzie (A Dry White Season)

2. Sean Penn
Key Role(s): Jeff Spicoli (Fast Times at Ridgemont High)
Daulton Lee (The Falcon and the Snowman)
Matthew Poncelet (Dead Man Walking)
Edward Welsh (The Thin Red Line)
Emmet Ray (Sweet and Lowdown)
Sam Dawson (I Am Sam)
Jimmy Markum (Mystic River)
Harvey Milk (Milk)
Joe Wilson (Fair Game)

1. Jack Nicholson
Key Role(s): Wilbur Force (The Little Shop of Horrors)
George Hanson (Easy Rider)
Robert Dupea (Five Easy Pieces)
Buddusky (The Last Detail)
J.J. Gittes (Chinatown)
R.P. McMurphy (One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest)
Jack Torrance (The Shining)
Eugene O’Neill (Reds)
Garrett Breedlove (Terms of Endearment)
Charley Partana (Prizzi’s Honor)
Joker (Batman)
Nathan R. Jessup (A Few Good Men)
Melvin Udall (As Good As It Gets)
Harry Sanborn (Something’s Gotta Give)
Frank Costello (The Departed)

links: INSIDIOUS review, top 10 BENING films

The timing is yet again purely coincidental, but I have two new guest posts on my compadres’ blogs.  Over at Top 10 Films is my Top 10 Annette Bening films, and at Anomalous Material is my review of new release horror film Insidious.  Do check them out!

coming soon…

Okay, I’m not kidding this time.  This was meant for February, but Oscar madness wrapped me up rather tightly for the month.  But I’m making serious progress on the leading ladies of the ’80s, so expect the next segment of The Great Big Academy Awards Project to surface by May.  In the meantime, chime in on the mystery lady in the photo above…